Hillary Clinton: Still Running for Office

She is, to use the old military expression, keeping her powder dry:

Hillary Clinton says running for office isn’t on her “radar,” but she still has an eight-person political team and sports two overflowing campaign war chests.

Her team transformed the former Democratic White House contender’s massive campaign debts into a $3 million mountain of political cash, according to federal fund-raising records through the end of June.

Although most people are talking in terms of 2016, don’t rule out 2012.

Like every other American President since the 1960’s , Barack Obama is sitting on a notoriously impatient electorate.  Given that and the combination of the current depression and his idea of burdening the economy with growth in the non-productive sector, he (and we) will probably have a real mess on our hands by 2012 (to say nothing of 2010.)

Back when Jimmy Carter accomplished a similar feat, Ted Kennedy was working to unseat him for the 1980 nomination.  Without Chappaquidick looming in the background, there’s no doubt that he could have done it, in which case Ronald Reagan would have had an uphill battle in the general election.  But Kennedy’s nautical adventures on Martha’s Vineyard sunk both his chances at the nomination and his party’s chance to reverse Carter’s problems and win the White Hosue.

The Republicans have helped things along, too.  For years the Democrats have coralled the elderly by saying that the Republicans would take away their Social Security.  Now the Republicans have returned the favour by saying that Obama’s health plan will take away Medicare.  That sets up Hillary Clinton as a standard bearer for her own aging generation, one she doesn’t have to get in the middle of just yet because she’s out of the country being the North Korean’s mommy.  But, should she get in the race for 2012, the nomination will be a generational split.

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